Methodological approach of construction businesses failure prediction studies: a review

Alaka, Hafiz and Oyedele, L.O. and Owolabi, H.A. and Ajayi, S.O. and Bilal, M. and Akinade, O.O. (2016) Methodological approach of construction businesses failure prediction studies: a review. Construction Management and Economics, 34 (11). pp. 808-842. ISSN 0144-6193

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Abstract

Performance of bankruptcy prediction models (BPM), which partly depends on the methodological approach used to develop it, has virtually stagnated over the years. The methodological positions of BPM studies were thus
investigated. Systematic review was used to search and retrieve 70 journal articles and doctoral theses. Their “general methods” and “philosophical underpinnings” were investigated using summary of findings tables and
meta-analysis. “General methods” results showed positive trends in terms of techniques being used, error cost consideration and model validation, with some use of skewed data being the main drawback. For “philosophical
underpinnings”, positivism paradigm was discovered to be at the core of BPM studies. This is deemed inadequate because of the need to consider industries’ dynamism, financial variables flaws and social factors which
actually lead to the financial status of firms. The pragmatism paradigm using mixed method is proposed. A research design framework for executing the proposed methodology is presented. This will help BPM developers go through more rigorous and robust methodology to deliver better and more valid models. Limitations of study include not reviewing studies not reported in English language and impact of different countries’ accounting practices on ratios. Limited availability of theses’ database resulted in reviewing only four theses.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Bankruptcy prediction models, insolvency, methodology, research methods.
Subjects: K200 Building
Divisions: Faculty of Computing, Engineering and the Built Environment
Faculty of Computing, Engineering and the Built Environment > School of Engineering and the Built Environment
Faculty of Computing, Engineering and the Built Environment > School of Engineering and the Built Environment > Integrated Design Construction
UoA Collections > UoA16: Architecture, Built Environment and Planning
Depositing User: Oana-Andreea Dumitrascu
Date Deposited: 18 May 2017 06:32
Last Modified: 07 Jul 2017 10:10
URI: http://www.open-access.bcu.ac.uk/id/eprint/4447

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