Participatory scenario development for environmental management: A methodological framework illustrated with experience from the UK uplands

Reed, M.S. and Kenter, J. and Bonn, A. and Broad, K. and Burt, T.P. and Fazey, I.R. and Fraser, E.D.G. and Hubacek, K. and Nainggolan, D. and Quinn, C.H. and Stringer, L.C. and Ravera, F. (2013) Participatory scenario development for environmental management: A methodological framework illustrated with experience from the UK uplands. Journal of Environmental Management, 128. pp. 345-362. ISSN 03014797 (ISSN)

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Abstract

A methodological framework is proposed for participatory scenario development on the basis of evidence from the literature, and is tested and refined through the development of scenarios for the future of UK uplands. The paper uses a review of previous work to justify a framework based around the following steps: i) define context and establish whether there is a basis for stakeholder engagement in scenario development; ii) systematically identify and represent relevant stakeholders in the process; iii) define clear objectives for scenario development with stakeholders including spatial and temporal boundaries; iv) select relevant participatory methods for scenario development, during initial scenario construction, evaluation and to support decision-making based on scenarios; and v) integrate local and scientific knowledge throughout the process. The application of this framework in case study research suggests that participatory scenario development has the potential to: i) make scenarios more relevant to stakeholder needs and priorities; ii) extend the range of scenarios developed; iii) develop more detailed and precise scenarios through the integration of local and scientific knowledge; and iv) move beyond scenario development to facilitate adaptation to future change. It is argued that participatory scenario development can empower stakeholders and lead to more consistent and robust scenarios that can help people prepare more effectively for future change. © 2013 The Authors.

Item Type:	Article
Identification Number:	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2013.05.016
Dates:	Date Event 5 October 2013 Published
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Futures, Participation, Scenarios, Stakeholders, United Kingdom, Uplands, decision making, empowerment, environmental management, environmental policy, future prospect, literature review, participatory approach, spatiotemporal analysis, stakeholder, upland region, article, climate change, decision making, energy yield, environmental management, farming system, human, knowledge, social structure, tourism, Futures, Participation, Scenarios, Stakeholders, United Kingdom, Uplands, Conservation of Natural Resources, Consumer Participation, Great Britain, Models, Theoretical, United Kingdom
Subjects:	CAH26 - geography, earth and environmental studies > CAH26-01 - geography, earth and environmental studies > CAH26-01-02 - physical geographical sciences
Divisions:	Faculty of Computing, Engineering and the Built Environment Faculty of Computing, Engineering and the Built Environment > School of Engineering and the Built Environment Faculty of Computing, Engineering and the Built Environment > School of Engineering and the Built Environment > Dept. of Built Environment
Depositing User:	Hussen Farooq
Date Deposited:	04 Aug 2016 13:52
Last Modified:	22 Mar 2023 12:16
URI:	https://www.open-access.bcu.ac.uk/id/eprint/2600

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