Data-driven STNet and STProphet models for secure edge-based indoor air temperature prediction in smart buildings

Hamayat, Faizan and Ahmad, Rana Fayyaz and Ghaban, Wad and Saeed, Faisal and Ahmad, Jawad and Anwar, Syed Muhammad and Zubair, Syed (2026) Data-driven STNet and STProphet models for secure edge-based indoor air temperature prediction in smart buildings. Building Research & Information. pp. 1-18. ISSN 0961-3218

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Abstract

Energy efficiency is vital yet underutilized in buildings. Reducing energy consumption while maintaining human-level comfort within certain boundaries requires accurate indoor air temperature (IAT) modelling. IAT prediction models support HVAC optimization, setting operational limits, and detecting discrepancies between predicted and actual conditions for predictive model control. However, accurately predicting IAT in large-scale smart buildings is challenging due to numerous complex factors. To address this issue, this paper presents two data-driven hybrid models for accurate IAT prediction. The first model, STNet, integrates a CNN with a Bi-LSTM, while the second model, STProphet, combines a CNN with Transformers to capture spatial–temporal dependencies. Both models are deployed on an edge device to enhance data security and privacy. Experimental evaluation shows significant improvements over a baseline method. STNet reduces MAE, RMSE, and MAPE by 75.74%, 68.58%, and 76.92%, respectively. STProphet achieves reductions of 72.44%, 66.58%, and 73.76% for the same metrics. Inference efficiency also improves substantially: STNet reduces latency by 53.64% (to 51 ms) and STProphet by 68.18% (to 35 ms), compared with the baseline’s 110 ms. The results confirm the effectiveness of the proposed models for real-time IAT prediction, supporting more reliable energy modelling and optimization in large-scale smart buildings.

Item Type: Article
Identification Number: 10.1080/09613218.2026.2621314
Dates:
Date
Event
19 January 2026
Accepted
3 February 2026
Published Online
Uncontrolled Keywords: HVAC Systems, Indoor Air Temperature Modelling, Spatio-Temporal Neural Network, Spatio-Temporal Prophet, Secure Edge Computing, Data-Driven Buildings
Subjects: CAH11 - computing > CAH11-01 - computing > CAH11-01-01 - computer science
Divisions: Architecture, Built Environment, Computing and Engineering > Computer Science
Depositing User: Gemma Tonks
Date Deposited: 11 Feb 2026 10:34
Last Modified: 11 Feb 2026 10:34
URI: https://www.open-access.bcu.ac.uk/id/eprint/16857

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