Chaos Theory: Implications for Cost Overrun Research in Hydrocarbon Megaprojects
Olaniran, Olugbenga Jide and Love, P.E.D. and Edwards, D.J. and Olatunji, Oluwole Alfred and Matthews, J. (2016) Chaos Theory: Implications for Cost Overrun Research in Hydrocarbon Megaprojects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143 (2). ISSN 07339364 (ISSN)
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Chaos Theory Implications for Cost Overrun Research for Hydrocarbon Megaprojects .pdf - Accepted Version Download (389kB) |
Abstract
Cost overruns are a recurrent problem in hydrocarbon (oil and gas) megaprojects. An understanding of why and how they occur is needed if they are to be mitigated; such knowledge can provide managers with the foundations to develop techniques to reduce and contain their negative impacts on a project’s performance. This paper examines the nature of cost overruns in hydrocarbon megaprojects using the theoretical lens of chaos theory. The underlying principles of chaos theory are reviewed and its research implications for examining cost overruns identified. By viewing megaprojects as chaotic or dynamic systems, the industry and research community may be better positioned to develop innovative solutions to mitigate cost overrun occurrence.
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