Integrating Cyber-Physical Modeling for Pandemic Surveillance: A Graph-Based Approach for Disease Hotspot Prediction and Public Awareness

Nawaz, Waqas and Uzair, Muhammad and Khan, Kifayat Ullah and Fatima, Iram (2024) Integrating Cyber-Physical Modeling for Pandemic Surveillance: A Graph-Based Approach for Disease Hotspot Prediction and Public Awareness. IEICE Transactions on Information and Systems. ISSN 0916-8532

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Abstract

The study of the spread of pandemics, including COVID-19, is an emerging concern to promote self-care management through social distancing, using state-of-the-art tools and technologies. Existing technologies provide many opportunities to acquire and process large volumes of data to monitor user activities from various perspectives. However, determining disease hotspots remains an open challenge considering user activities and interactions; providing related recommendations to susceptible individuals requires attention. In this article, we propose an approach to determine disease hotspots by modeling users' activities from both cyber- and real-world spaces. Our approach uniquely connects cyber- and physical-world activities to predict hazardous regions. The availability of such an exciting data set is a non-trivial task; therefore, we produce the data set with much hard work and release it to the broader research community to facilitate further research findings. Once the data set is generated, we model it as a directed multi-attributed and weighted graph to apply classical machine learning and graph neural networks for prediction purposes. Our contribution includes mapping user events from cyber- and physical-world aspects, knowledge extraction, dataset generation, and reasoning at various levels. Within our unique graph model, numerous elements of lifestyle parameters are measured and processed to gain deep insight into a person's status. As a result, the proposed solution enables the authorities of any pandemic, such as COVID-19, to monitor and take measurable actions to prevent the spread of such a disease and keep the public informed of the probability of catching it.

Item Type:	Article
Identification Number:	10.1587/transinf.2024EDP7020
Dates:	Date Event 21 August 2024 Accepted 29 August 2024 Published Online
Subjects:	CAH11 - computing > CAH11-01 - computing > CAH11-01-03 - information systems CAH11 - computing > CAH11-01 - computing > CAH11-01-05 - artificial intelligence
Divisions:	Faculty of Business, Law and Social Sciences > College of Accountancy, Finance and Economics Faculty of Business, Law and Social Sciences > College of Accountancy, Finance and Economics > Centre for Accountancy Finance and Economics
Depositing User:	Kifayat Khan
Date Deposited:	26 Sep 2024 13:02
Last Modified:	26 Sep 2024 13:02
URI:	https://www.open-access.bcu.ac.uk/id/eprint/15805

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