US-China Tensions and renewable energy markets: A Dynamic Bayesian Inference Approach

Naysary, Babak and Ghafoor, Abdul (2026) US-China Tensions and renewable energy markets: A Dynamic Bayesian Inference Approach. Working Paper 44. Centre for Accountancy Finance and Economics (CAFE), Birmingham City Business School, Birmingham City University. (Submitted)

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Abstract

This paper examines the impact of US-China trade tensions on renewable energy markets from 2010-2024. Using a Dynamic Bayesian Inference approach, we quantify time-varying sensitivities of four NASDAQ renewable energy indices: Solar, Wind, Geothermal, and Green Economy. Our findings reveal significant heterogeneity in market responses. These results suggest that certain renewable sectors have developed effective resilience mechanisms to geopolitical risks.

Item Type: Monograph (Working Paper)
Identification Number: 44
Dates:
Date
Event
30 September 2026
Submitted
Uncontrolled Keywords: Dynamic Bayesian Inference, US-China trade tensions, renewable energy
Subjects: CAH15 - social sciences > CAH15-02 - economics > CAH15-02-01 - economics
Divisions: Business School > Accountancy, Finance and Economics
Business School > Accountancy, Finance and Economics > Centre for Accountancy Finance and Economics
Depositing User: Gemma Tonks
Date Deposited: 22 Oct 2026 16:20
Last Modified: 22 Oct 2026 16:20
URI: https://www.open-access.bcu.ac.uk/id/eprint/17279

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